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Document 52013DC0490
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION Harmonized framework for draft budgetary plans and debt issuance reports within the euro area
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION Harmonized framework for draft budgetary plans and debt issuance reports within the euro area
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION Harmonized framework for draft budgetary plans and debt issuance reports within the euro area
/* COM/2013/0490 final */
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION Harmonized framework for draft budgetary plans and debt issuance reports within the euro area /* COM/2013/0490 final */
1. Introduction Regulation (EU) No
473/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council on common provisions for
monitoring and assessing draft budgetary plans and ensuring the correction of
excessive deficit of the Member States in the euro area (OJ L140, 27.05.2013) entered into
force on 30 May 2013. It builds on and complements within the euro area
(EA) the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), the European framework for fiscal
surveillance.
This Regulation takes a concrete and decisive step towards strengthening
the surveillance mechanisms applicable to all EA Member States. The new fiscal
surveillance features for EA Member States stemming from Regulation No
473/2013 mean
increased transparency on their budgetary decisions and stronger budgetary coordination
between them starting with the 2014 budgetary cycle. In particular, the new
common budgetary provisions include a new coordinated surveillance exercise
that will take place annually in the autumn. By 15 October every autumn,
all EA
Member States will
submit their draft budgetary plans (DBPs) for the forthcoming year. For each EA
Member State, the Commission will then issue an opinion on the DBP before the
adoption of the corresponding national budget. Where, in exceptional cases, the
Commission identifies particularly serious non-compliance of a plan with the budgetary
policy obligations laid down in the SGP, a revised draft plan will be requested
after consulting the Member State concerned. This new common budgetary timeline
will facilitate policy coordination among euro area Member States and ensure
that Council and Commission recommendations are appropriately integrated in the
budgetary procedure of the Member States As established in Article 6(5)
of Regulation No
473/2013,
"The specification of the content of the draft budgetary plan shall be set
out in a harmonized framework established by the Commission in cooperation with
the Member States." This Communication puts forward a harmonized
framework for EA Member States to submit their DBP. A set of templates are to
be found in the Annex, covering the key budgetary and macroeconomic data for
the forthcoming year as required by Regulation No 473/2013. Furthermore, Regulation No
473/2013 also
fosters a better coordination of national debt issuance plans, establishing a
reporting obligation for all EA Member States. In particular, all EA
Member States are required to ex-ante and timely report on their national debt
issuance plans. This information will further enable an adequate monitoring
of debt developments in the euro area and will increase coordination of debt
issuance decisions. According to Article 8 of this Regulation, the harmonized
form and content of these reports "shall be laid down by the Commission,
in cooperation with the Member States". Thus, this Communication also puts
forward a harmonized form and content for EA Member States to report on their national debt
issuance plans. 2. Specifications on the form and content of
draft budgetary plans. The
guidelines set out below should be considered as a code of good practice and
checklist to be used by Member States in preparing DBP. Member States are
expected to follow the guidelines, and to justify any departure from them. The DBP
essentially should present an update of some of the standardized set of tables
from the Stability Programmes, complemented by detailed information on the
measures presented in the DBP. In line with existing
guidelines provided for Stability and Convergence Programmes, the concepts used
should be consistent with the standards established at European level, notably
in the context of the European system of accounts (ESA). The DBP
should allow the identification of sources of possible discrepancies from the
budgetary strategy in the most recent Stability Programme. For this reason,
besides the required data for the forthcoming year, i.e. the year for which the
budget is being drafted (year t+1 in the standardized tables in the
Annex), the corresponding estimates for the current year (t in the
standardized tables in the Annex) should also be included, together with the
outcomes of the previous year (t-1 in the standardized tables in the
Annex), consistent with data reported under the excessive deficit procedure. A.
Independent macroeconomic forecasts and assumptions. Estimated impact of
aggregated budgetary measures on economic growth. DBPs should
be based on independent macroeconomic forecasts, as set out in Article 6(3) of
Regulation No
473/2013.
Accordingly, Tables 1a, 1b, 1c, 1d of the DBP, included in the Annex, present
the main expected economic developments and important economic variables used
in the preparation of the DBP. In
particular, Table 1a contains data on real GDP rate of change observed in year t-1,
and real GDP rate of change forecasted for years t and t+1. The
estimated impact on economic growth of the aggregated budgetary measures
envisaged in the DBP should be included in these forecasted growth rates for
years t and t+1. Therefore, following Article 6(3)(g) of Regulation
No
473/2013,
this estimated impact on economic growth is recommended to be specified in
Table 1a or otherwise detailed in the methodological annex. The basic
assumptions upon which macroeconomic forecasts are based should be presented in
table 0.i) of the Annex. Further main assumptions typically relevant for the
production of macroeconomic forecasts are presented in table 0.ii). Member
States may find useful to check the latter when trying to summarise the
assumptions upon which the independent macroeconomic forecasts are based. Member States
should also make explicit whether the independent macroeconomic and budgetary
forecasts have been produced or endorsed by the independent body. B. Budgetary
targets The budgetary
targets for the general government balance, broken-down by sub-sector of
the general government (central government, state or regional government for
Member States with federal or largely decentralized institutional arrangements,
local government and social security) should be presented in the corresponding
tables also included in the Annex. As stated in Article 7(2) of Regulation No 473/2013, the
Commission should assess whether the DBP complies with the budgetary policy
obligations laid down in the SGP. In order to make this assessment possible,
structural budgetary targets and one-off and other temporary measures are also
among the required information in this section. Compliance with the debt
benchmark is assessed against debt developments data, which should be
consistent with the previously detailed budgetary targets and macroeconomic
forecasts. This information, which is required in the tables 2.a, 2.b and 2.c
of the Annex, could be complemented with data on contingent liabilities that
could affect the medium-term government debt position. To allow for
a comprehensive understanding of the government balance and of the budgetary
strategy in general, information should be provided on expenditure and
revenue targets and on their main components. This information is contained
in table 4a of the Annex. Bearing in mind the conditions and criteria to
establish the expenditure growth to be assessed in accordance with Article 5(1)
of Regulation No
1466/97,
which defines an expenditure benchmark, the DBP also presents the planned
growth of government expenditure which receives a special treatment in the
computation of the expenditure benchmark. A breakdown
of the general government expenditure by function is contained in the
corresponding tables in the Annex. Where possible, Member States are encouraged
to provide this information broken down into the categories detailed in the Classification
of the Functions of Government (COFOG). In any case, according to Article
6(3)(d)) of Regulation No 473/2013, relevant information on the
general government expenditure on education, healthcare and employment should
be provided, either in the proposed table or otherwise detailed in the DBP. C. Public
expenditure and revenue under the no-policy-change scenario and discretionary
budgetary measures. Each Member State should appropriately define a scenario for expenditure and revenue at
unchanged policies for the forthcoming year (i.e. pre-budget, excluding the new
measures that have been proposed in the context of the budgetary process) and
make public the underlying assumptions, methodologies and relevant parameters.
The 'no-policy change' assumption involves the extrapolation of revenue and
expenditure trends before adding the impact of discretionary budgetary measures
decided in the context of the budgetary process for the forthcoming year. The
results of projections for the expenditure and the revenue sides on the basis
of the unchanged policy assumption are presented in table 3 of the Annex, while
the set of tables 5.a, 5.b and 5.c describe and summarize the discretionary
measures in the process of being adopted by the different sub-sectors to reach
the budgetary targets. These three
tables should contain an exhaustive technical description of the measures being
taken by the different sub-sectors, together with information concerning the
motivation, the design and the implementation of the measure. The target of the
budgetary measure should also be detailed, in ESA terms, specifying whether it
is a discretionary expenditure or revenue measure. Furthermore, the precise
component of the expenditure or revenue side targeted by the discretionary
measure should also be specified. This will make the comparison between the
targets and the no-policy-change outcomes feasible. In other words: - On the
revenue side, it should be stated whether it is a measure targeting: o Taxes on
production and imports (ESA code: D.2) o Current
taxes on income, wealth, etc. (ESA code: D.5) o Capital taxes
(ESA code: D.91) o Social
contributions (ESA code: D.61) o Property
income (ESA code; D.4) o Other (ESA
code: P.11+P.12+P.131+D.39+D.7+D.9 {other than D.91}) - On the
expenditure side, it should be stated whether it is a measure targeting: o Compensation
of employees (ESA code: D.1) o Intermediate
consumption (ESA code: P.2) o Social
payments (social benefits and social transfers in kind supplied to households
via market producers ESA code: D.62, D.6311, D.63121, D.63131), of which, where
applicable, unemployment benefits including cash benefits (D.621 and D.624) and
in kind benefits (D.6311, D.63121, D.63131) related to unemployment benefits
should be also specified. o Interest
expenditure (ESA code: D.41) o Subsidies
(ESA code: D.3) o Gross fixed
capital formation (ESA code: P.51) o Capital
transfers (ESA code: D.9) o Other (ESA
code: D.29+D.4 {other than D.41} +D.5+D.7+P.52+P.53+K.2+D.8) The time
profile of the measures should be specified in order to distinguish measures
with a transitory budgetary effect that does not lead to a sustained change in
the intertemporal budgetary position (i.e. in the permanent level of revenues
or expenditure) from those having a permanent budgetary effect that leads to a
sustained change in the intertemporal budgetary position (i.e. in the permanent
level of revenues or expenditure). According to Regulation No 473/2013
measures with an estimated budgetary impact above 0.1% of GDP should be
described in detail, whereas those with a budgetary impact below this threshold
need to be identified and their aggregated budgetary impact indicated. To the
extent possible, smaller measures affecting the same revenue / expenditure
category could be meaningfully grouped together. However, in the context of the
Economic and Financial Committee Member States have agreed to further improve
the quality of discretionary tax measures (DTM) reporting, committing
themselves to describe in detail all DTM with a minimum budgetary impact of
0.05% of GDP. Thus, in the context of the DBPs and to improve consistency
across reporting requirements, Member States are also encouraged to provide
detailed information on all discretionary budgetary measures with an estimated
budgetary impact above 0.05% of GDP. DBPs should
also contain information on the estimated budgetary impact of discretionary
measures at the level of each sub-sector, included in tables 5.a, 5.b and 5.c
of the Annex. The budgetary impact of all measures is to be recorded in terms
of the incremental impact –as opposed to recording the budgetary impact in
terms of levels- compared to the previous year baseline projection. This
implies that simple permanent measures should be recorded as having an effect
of +/- X in the year(s) they are introduced and zero otherwise, i.e. the
overall impact on the level of revenues or expenditures must not cancel out. If
the impact of a measure varies over time, only the incremental impact should be
recorded in the table[1].
By their nature, one-off measures should be always recorded as having an effect
of +/-X in the year of the first budgetary impact and -/+ X in the following
year, i.e. the overall impact on the level of revenues or expenditures in two
consecutive years must be zero.[2]
Depending on
each specific measure, Member States should adapt the dimension of these three
tables accordingly, so they contain as many columns as needed to reflect the
complete budgetary impact over time. Underlying assumptions used to estimate
the budgetary impact of each measure (e.g. elasticities or evolution of the tax
base) should also be described in the DBP. Finally, DBPs should also
specify the accounting principle on which the data are being reported: by default,
they should be reported on accrual basis, but, if impossible, it should be
indicated explicitly that the value reported is based on cash reporting. D. Union's Strategy for growth and jobs targets and Country Specific Recommendations. Details on how
the measures adopted address the CSRs or the national targets in accordance
with the Union's strategy for growth and jobs are included in tables 6.a and
6.b of the Annex. E.
Indications on the expected distributional impact of the main expenditure and
revenue measures. Information
on the expected distributional impact of the main expenditure and revenue
measures should also be specified in DBPs, according to Article 6(3)(d) of Regulation
No
473/2013. Whereas the
majority of Member States already include in their budgets qualitative
considerations on the distributional impact of fiscal measures, quantitative
estimations are much less common. Certainly, quantifying the distributional
impact of budgetary measures is a challenging task. For this reason no standardized
table on this aspect of DBPs is included in the Annex; on the contrary, Member
States should provide, to the extent possible, qualitative information and
quantitative estimations on the distributional effects of budgetary measures,
presented as best fits each Member State's specific measures and available
analytical frameworks. F. Comparison
between DBP and the most recent Stability Programme. Table 7 of
the Annex compares the budgetary targets and projections at unchanged policies
in the DBP with those of the latest SP. Possible differences in past and
planned data with respect to those in the SP should be duly explained. G.
Methodological Annex. Finally,
table 8 in the Annex contains the methodological aspects that should be
included in the DBP. These should include details on the different estimation
techniques applied along the budgetary process, together with its relevant
features and the assumptions used. In case the estimated impact of aggregated
budgetary measures on economic growth has not been reported in Table 1.a, it
should be specified in this Annex. 3. Guidelines
on the form and content of debt issuance reports. Following
Article 8(2) of Regulation No 473/2013, this section provides a harmonised
form and content for EA Member States to report on their national debt
issuance plans. In order to
place the national debt issuance plans in a fiscal surveillance framework they
should be accompanied by general information on the overall financing needs of
the central budget. Therefore, two reports are to be submitted: an annual and a
quarterly report. Given the
need for flexibility in changing market conditions, the forward-looking
information in these reports is understood to be indicative and subject to
market conditions. The reports should in principle not be disseminated
to the public,
given the potential sensitivity of this information. 1.
The annual report should contain: - general
information on the overall financing needs of the central budget, such as
(i) redemptions of securities with an original maturity of one year or
more; (ii) stock of securities with an original maturity of less than one year;
(iii) net cash financing; (iv) cash deficit and (v) net acquisition of
financial assets, excluding net cash financing, - the issuance
plans for the next year including the break-down into short-term and medium- to
long-term securities following the template provided below. Table III – Template to be contained in annual debt
issuance reports[3]. Total funding requirement (EUR million) || Financing plan (EUR million) Redemptions of securities with an original maturity of one year or more (1) || Stock of T‑bills and Commercial Papers at the end of the previous year (2) || Net cash financing (3) || Total refinancing needs (4 = 1+2 +3) || Cash deficit/ surplus (5) || Net acquisition of financial assets, excl. net cash financing (6) || Other (7) || Total (8 = 4+5 +6+7) || Change in the stock of short-term (T-bills + CPs) (9) || Medium to long-term (10) || Other (11) || Total (12 = 2+9+ 10+11) || || || || || || || || || || || The report
should be submitted to the Commission at least one week before the end of the
calendar year. 2.
The quarterly report should present the issuance plans, per quarter
(non-cumulative) including the breakdown into short-term and medium- to
long-term securities. Issuance plans for the quarter(s) to come should be
accompanied by a report on actual issuance in the preceding quarter as well as
the estimate of issuance for the current quarter following the template
provided below. While, in principle and under more normal market conditions,
foreseen issuance plans should be reported for several quarters ahead, under
the current market conditions such issuance forecasts might be difficult to
make or be of limited informational value. Therefore, it is suggested that
only the immediate quarter ahead would be subject to such reporting. Table IV – Template to be contained in quarterly
debt issuance reports[4],[5]. Financing plan (EUR million) || Short-term (T-bills + CPs)* (1) || Medium to long-term (2) || Other (3) || Total (4=1+2+3) q-1 (preceding quarter, actual data) || actual data || actual data || actual data || actual data q (current quarter, estimate) || estimate || estimate || estimate || estimate q+1 (next quarter, plan) || plan || plan || plan || plan * Please
report here the actual issuance, i.e. including multiple counting of 1-month
bill rollover The report
should be submitted to the Commission at least one week before the beginning of
the next quarter. The quarterly
periodicity of issuance plans reporting is considered to strike the right
balance between, on the one hand, increasing the transparency and
predictability of funding plans, and, on the other hand, leaving enough
flexibility for issuance policies and procedures. All the
amounts should be expressed in million Euros. Where data
are available, Member States are encouraged to provide comparable templates
with similar information concerning national agencies and regional or local
governments. ANNEX.
MODEL STRUCTURE AND TABLES TO BE CONTAINED IN DRAFT BUDGETARY PLANS.[6] A.
MODEL STRUCTURE FOR DRAFT BUDGETARY PLANS. 1. Macroeconomic Forecasts. 2. Budgetary targets. 3. Expenditure and revenue projections under the
no-policy change scenario. 4. Expenditure and revenue targets. General
government expenditure by function. 5. Discretionary measures included in the draft
budget. 6. Possible links between the draft budgetary
plan and the targets set by the Union's Strategy for growth and jobs and CSRs. 7. Comparison with latest Stability Programme. 8. Distributional impact of the main expenditure
and revenue measures. Annex: Methodological aspects, including the
estimated impact of aggregated budgetary measures on economic growth. B.
TABLES TO BE CONTAINED IN DRAFT BUDGETARY PLANS. 1. Macroeconomic forecasts Table 0.i) Basic assumptions || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 Short-term interest rate1 (annual average) || || || Long-term interest rate (annual average) || || || USD/€ exchange rate (annual average) || || || Nominal effective exchange rate || || || World excluding EU, GDP growth || || || EU GDP growth || || || Growth of relevant foreign markets || || || World import volumes, excluding EU || || || Oil prices (Brent, USD/barrel) || || || 1If necessary, purely technical assumptions. || || Table 0.ii). Main assumptions. Non-exhaustive check list. (Similar
information can be provided in different formats) || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 1. External environment || a. Prices of commodities || || || b. Spreads over the German bond || || || || || || 2. Fiscal policy || a. General government net lending / net borrowing || || || b. General government gross debt || || || || || || 3. Monetary policy / Financial sector / interest rates assumptions || a. Interest rates: || || || i. Euribor || || || ii. Deposit rates || || || iii. Interest rates for loans || || || iv. Yields to maturity of 10 year government bonds || || || b. Evolution of deposits || || || c. Evolution of loans || || || d. NPL trends || || || || || || 4. Demographic trends || a. Evolution of working-age population || || || b. Dependency ratios || || || || || || 5. Structural policies || || || || Table 1.a. Macroeconomic prospects || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 || || Level || rate of change || rate of change || rate of change 1. Real GDP || B1*g || || || || Of which || 1.1. Attributable to the estimated impact of aggregated budgetary measures on economic growth1 || || --- || --- || || 2. Potential GDP || || || || || contributions: || || || || || - labour || || || || || - capital || || || || || - total factor productivity || || || || || 3. Nominal GDP || B1*g || || || || Components of real GDP || 4. Private final consumption expenditure || P.3 || || || || 5. Government final consumption expenditure || P.3 || || || || 6. Gross fixed capital formation || P.51 || || || || 7. Changes in inventories and net acquisition of valuables (% of GDP) || P.52 + P.53 || || || || 8. Exports of goods and services || P.6 || || || || 9. Imports of goods and services || P.7 || || || || Contributions to real GDP growth || 10. Final domestic demand || || || - || || 11. Changes in inventories and net acquisition of valuables || P.52 + P.53 || || - || || 12. External balance of goods and services || B.11 || || - || || 1/ Please report here the estimated impact on
real GDP growth of the aggregated budgetary measures contained in the DBP. Table 1.b. Price developments || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 || || Level || rate of change || rate of change || rate of change 1. GDP deflator || || || || || 2. Private consumption deflator || || || || || 3. HICP || || || || || 4. Public consumption deflator || || || || || 5. Investment deflator || || || || || 6. Export price deflator (goods and services) || || || || || 7. Import price deflator (goods and services) || || || || || Table 1.c. Labour market
developments || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 || || Level || rate of change || rate of change || rate of change 1. Employment, persons1 || || || || || 2. Employment, hours worked2 || || || || || 3. Unemployment rate (%)3 || || || || || 4. Labour productivity, persons4 || || || || || 5. Labour productivity, hours worked || || || || || 6. Compensation of employees || D.1 || || || || 7. Compensation per employee || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || || - || || || || || - || || 1/ Occupied population, domestic concept
national accounts definition. 2/ National accounts definition. 3/ Harmonised definition, Eurostat; levels. 4/ Real GDP per person employed. 5/ Real GDP per hour worked. Table 1.d. Sectoral balances || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 1. Net lending/net borrowing vis-à-vis the rest of the world || B.9 || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP of which: || - Balance on goods and services || || || || - Balance of primary incomes and transfers || || || || - Capital account || || || || 2. Net lending/net borrowing of the private sector || B.9 || || || 3. Net lending/net borrowing of general government || B.9 || || || 4. Statistical discrepancy || || || || 2. Budgetary Targets Table 2.a. General government
budgetary targets broken down by subsector || ESA Code || Year t || Year t+1 || || % GDP || % GDP Net lending (+) / net borrowing (-) ( B.9) by sub-sector || || || 1. General government || S.13 || || 2. Central government || S.1311 || || 3. State government || S.1312 || || 4. Local government || S.1313 || || 5. Social security funds || S.1314 || || 6. Interest expenditure || D.41 || || 7. Primary balance2 || || || 8. One-off and other temporary measures3 || || || 9. Real GDP growth (%) (=1. in Table 1a) || || || 10. Potential GDP growth (%) (=2 in Table 1.a) || || || contributions: || - labour || || || - capital || || || - total factor productivity || || || 11. Output gap (% of potential GDP) || || || 12. Cyclical budgetary component (% of potential GDP) || || || 13. Cyclically-adjusted balance (1 - 12) (% of potential GDP) || || || 14. Cyclically-adjusted primary balance (13 + 6) (% of potential GDP) || || || 15. Structural balance (13 - 8) (% of potential GDP) || || || 1/ TR-TE= B.9. 2/ The primary balance is calculated as (B.9,
item 8) plus (D.41, item 9). 3/ A plus sign means deficit-reducing one-off
measures. Table 2.b. General government debt
developments || ESA Code || Year t || Year t+1 || || % GDP || % GDP 1. Gross debt1 || || || 2. Change in gross debt ratio || || || Contributions to changes in gross debt || 3. Primary balance (= item 10 in Table 2.a.i) || || || 4. Interest expenditure (= item 9 in Table 2.a.i) || D.41 || || 5. Stock-flow adjustment || || || of which: || - Differences between cash and accruals2 || || || - Net accumulation of financial assets3 || || || of which: || - privatisation proceeds || || || - Valuation effects and other4 || || || p.m.: Implicit interest rate on debt5 || || || Other relevant variables || 6. Liquid financial assets6 || || || 7. Net financial debt (7=1-6) || || || 8. Debt amortization (existing bonds) since the end of the previous year || || || 9. Percentage of debt denominated in foreign currency || || || 10. Average maturity || || || 1/ As defined in Regulation 479/2009. 2/ The differences concerning interest
expenditure, other expenditure and revenue could be distinguished when relevant
or in case the debt-to-GDP ratio is above the reference value. 3/ Liquid assets (currency), government
securities, assets on third countries, government controlled enterprises and
the difference between quoted and non-quoted assets could be distinguished when
relevant or in case the debt-to-GDP ratio is above the reference value. 4/ Changes due to exchange rate movements, and
operation in secondary market could be distinguished when relevant or in case
the debt-to-GDP ratio is above the reference value. 5/ Proxied by interest expenditure divided by
the debt level of the previous year. 6/ Liquid assets are here defined as AF.1, AF.2,
AF.3 (consolidated for general government, i.e.
netting out financial positions between government entities), AF.511, AF.52
(only if quoted in stock exchange). Table 2.c Contingent liabilities || Year t || Year t+1 || % GDP || % GDP Public guarantees || || Of which: linked to the financial sector || || 3. Expenditure and Revenue Projections under the
no-policy change scenario[7]. Table
3. General government expenditure and revenue projections at unchanged policies
broken down by main components. || ESA Code || Year t || Year t+1 General government (S13) || || % GDP || % GDP 1. Total revenue at unchanged policies || TR || || Of which || 1.1. Taxes on production and imports || D.2 || || 1.2. Current taxes on income, wealth, etc || D.5 || || 1.3. Capital taxes || D.91 || || 1.4. Social contributions || D.61 || || 1.5. Property income || D.4 || || 1.6. Other1 || || || p.m.: Tax burden (D.2+D.5+D.61+D.91-D.995)2 || || || 2. Total expenditure at unchanged policies || TE3 || || Of which || 2.1. Compensation of employees || D.1 || || 2.2. Intermediate consumption || P.2 || || 2.3. Social payments || D.621 D.632 || || of which Unemployment benefits4 || 2.4. Interest expenditure || D.41 || || 2.5. Subsidies || D.3 || || 2.6. Gross fixed capital formation || P.51 || || 2.7. Capital transfers || D.9 || || 2.8. Other5 || || || 1/ Under ESA95: D6311_D63121_D63131pay;
in ESA2010 D632pay 4. Expenditure and Revenue targets. Table
4.a General government expenditure and revenue targets, broken down by main
components. || ESA Code || Year t || Year t+1 General government (S13) || || % GDP || % GDP 1. Total revenue target || TR || || Of which || 1.1. Taxes on production and imports || D.2 || || 1.2. Current taxes on income, wealth, etc. || D.5 || || 1.3. Capital taxes || D.91 || || 1.4. Social contributions || D.61 || || 1.5. Property income || D.4 || || 1.6. Other 1 || || || p.m.: Tax burden (D.2+D.5+D.61+D.91-D.995)2 || || || 2. Total expenditure target || TE3 || || Of which || 2.1. Compensation of employees || D.1 || || 2.2. Intermediate consumption || P.2 || || 2.3. Social payments || D.626 D.632 || || of which Unemployment benefits4 || 2.4.= Table 2.a.9. Interest expenditure || D.41 || || 2.5. Subsidies || D.3 || || 2.6. Gross fixed capital formation || P.51 || || 2.7. Capital transfers || D.9 || || 2.8. Other5 || || || 1/ .11+P.12+P.131+D.39rec+D.7rec+D.9rec (other
than D.91rec) 2/ Including those collected by the EU and
including an adjustment for uncollected taxes and social contributions D.995),
if appropriate. 3/ TR-TE = B.9. 4/ Includes cash benefits (D.621 and D.624) and
in kind benefits (D.631, under ESA2010 D.632) related to unemployment benefits. 5/ D.29pay + D.4pay (other than D.41pay) +D.5pay
+D.7pay +P.52+P.53+K.2+D.8. 6/ Under ESA95: D6311_D63121_D63131pay;
in ESA2010 D632pay Table
4.b Amounts to be excluded from the expenditure benchmark || || || || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 || || || Level || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP || 1. Expenditure on EU programmes fully matched by EU funds revenue || || || || || || 2. Cyclical unemployment benefit expenditure 1 || || || || || || 3. Effect of discretionary revenue measures 2 || || || || || || 4. Revenue increases mandated by law || || || || || || 1/ Please detail the methodology used to obtain the cyclical component of unemployment benefit expenditure. It should build on unemployment benefit expenditure as defined in COFOG under the code 10.5. 2/ Revenue increases mandated by law should not be included in the effect of discretionary revenue measures: data reported in rows 3 and 4 should be mutually exclusive. Table
4.c General government expenditure by function. 4.c.i) General
government expenditure on education, healthcare and employment || Year t || Year t+1 || || % GDP || % general government expenditure || % GDP || % general government expenditure || Education1 || || || || || Healthcare1 || || || || || Employment2 || || || || || 1/ These expenditure categories should correspond respectively to items 9 and7 in table 4.c.ii). 2/ This expenditure category should contain, inter alia, government spending related to active labour market policies (ALMPs) including public employment services. On the contrary, items such as compensation of public employees or vocational training programmes should not be included here. 4.c.ii) Classification
of the functions of the Government Functions of the Government || COFOG Code || Year t || Year t+1 || || % GDP || % GDP 1. General public services || 1 || || 2. Defense || 2 || || 3. Public order and safety || 3 || || 4. Economic affairs || 4 || || 4. Environmental protection || 5 || || 6. Housing and community amenities || 6 || || 7. Health || 7 || || 8. Recreation, culture and religion || 8 || || 9. Education || 9 || || 10. Social protection || 10 || || 11. Total Expenditure (= item 2 in Table 2.c.i) || TE || || 5. Description of discretionary measures
included in the draft budget. Table
5.a Discretionary measures taken by General Government List of measures || Detailed description1 || Target (Expenditure / Revenue component) ESA Code || Accounting principle || Adoption Status || Budgetary impact || Year t || Year t+1 || Year t+2 || Year t+… || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP (1) || || || || || || || || (2) || || || || || || || … || || || || || || || || || TOTAL || || || || 1/ Please describe in further detail in case of
major fiscal policy reform plans with potential spillover effects for other
Member States in the Euro Area. Table
5.b Discretionary measures taken by Central Government List of measures || Detailed description1 || Target (Expenditure / Revenue component) ESA Code || Accounting principle || Adoption Status || Budgetary impact || Year t || Year t+1 || Year t+2 || Year t+… || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP (1) || || || || || || || || (2) || || || || || || || … || || || || || || || || || TOTAL || || || || 1/ Please describe in further detail in case of
major fiscal policy reform plans with potential spillover effects for other
Member States in the Euro Area. Table
5.c Discretionary measures taken by sub-sectors of the General Government1. List of measures || Detailed description2 || Target (Expenditure / Revenue component) ESA Code || Accounting principle || Adoption Status || Budgetary impact || Year t || Year t+1 || Year t+2 || Year t+… || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP (1) || || || || || || || || (2) || || || || || || || … || || || || || || || || || TOTAL || || || || 1/ Please name whether State Government, Local
Government and/or Social Security Funds. 2/ Please describe in further detail in case of
major fiscal policy reform plans with potential spillover effects for other
Member States in the Euro Area. 6.
Indications on how the measures in the DBP address CSR and the targets set by
the Union's Strategy for growth and jobs. Table
6.a CSR recommendations CSR number || List of measures || Description of direct relevance || || || || || || Table
6.b Targets set by the Union's Strategy for growth and jobs. National 2020 headline targets || List of measures || Description of direct relevance to address the target National 2020 employment target […] || || National 2020 R&D target […] || || GHG emission reduction target […] || || Renewable energy target […] || || National energy efficiency target […] || || National early school leaving target […] || || National target for tertiary education […] || || National poverty target […] || || 7. Divergence from latest SP. Table
7. Divergence from latest SP. || ESA Code || Year t-1 || Year t || Year t+1 || || % GDP || % GDP || % GDP Target general government net lending/net borrowing || B.9 || Stability Programme || || || || Draft Budgetary Plan || || || || Difference || || || || General government net lending projection at unchanged policies || B.9 || Stability Programme || || || || Draft Budgetary Plan || || || || Difference1 || || || || 1/ This difference can refer to both deviations
stemming from changes in the macroeconomic scenario and those stemming from the
effect of policy measures taken between the submission of the SP and the
submission of the DBP. Differences are expected due to the fact that the
no-policy change scenario is defined differently for the purpose of this Code
of Conduct with respect to the Stability Programme. 8. Distributional impact of the main expenditure
and revenue measures. In accordance with Article 6(3)(d) of Regulation 473/2013,Member
States should provide, to the extent possible, qualitative information and
quantitative estimations on the distributional effects of budgetary measures,
presented as best fits each Member State's specific measures and available
analytical frameworks. Quantifying the distributional impact of budgetary measures
is a challenging task. For this reason no standardized table on this aspect of
DBPs is included in this Annex. Quantitative estimations of the distributional impact
of budgetary measures could be assessed by computing the expected changes in
the Gini index, the S80/S20 indicator or the poverty rates as a result of them.
This methodology could represent one possible way forward among others. Annex to the
DBP: Methodology, economic models and assumptions underpinning
the information contained in the DBP. Table
8. Methodological aspects. Estimation Technique || Step of the budgetary process for which it was used1 || Relevant features of the model/ technique used || Assumptions Tool n.1 || || || Tool n.2 || || || … || || || 1/
Modeling tools may have been used: - when
doing macro forecasts - when
estimating expenditure and revenue under the no policy change scenario - when
estimating the distributional impact of the main expenditure and revenue
measures - when
quantifying the expenditure and revenue measures to be included in the draft
budget - when
estimating how reforms included in the DBP address targets set by the Union's Strategy for growth and jobs and CSRs. [1] For instance: a measure
which takes effect in July of year t may have a total impact of 100 in the
first year and 200 in the years after. In the reporting tables, this should be
recorded as +100 in year t and again +100 (the increment) in year t+1. The
total impact of a measure in a given year can be derived as the cumulative
impact of the increments since its introduction. [2]
One-off measures covering more than one year (e.g. a tax amnesty generating
income in two consecutive years) should be recorded as two separate measures,
one as a measure having its first impact in t and one having its first impact
in t+1. [3]
Provision of data on variables in bold characters is a requirement. Provision of data on other
variables is optional but highly desirable. [4]
Provision of data on variables in bold characters is a requirement. Provision of data on other
variables is optional but highly desirable. [5]The
reporting horizon will be revisited in dependence of a stabilisation of
conditions on European sovereign debt markets [6]
Provision of data on variables in bold characters is a requirement Provision of data on other
variables is optional but highly desirable [7]
Please note that the no-policy change scenario involves the extrapolation of
revenue and expenditure trends before adding the impact of the measures
included in the forthcoming year's budget.