This document is an excerpt from the EUR-Lex website
Document 52011SC1388
COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT
COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT
COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT
/* SEC/2011/1388 final */
COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT /* SEC/2011/1388 final */
1.
Problem definition
In the context of the negotiations for
accession to the European Union, the three candidate countries Bulgaria,
Lithuania and Slovakia took the commitment to close and subsequently
decommission nuclear reactors that could not be upgraded to meet the minimum
required safety standards at an economically acceptable cost by a commonly
agreed date. This early closure represented an exceptional financial burden for
the Member States which was not commensurate with the economic strength of the
countries concerned. In recognition of this fact and as act of solidarity the
European Union committed itself to continue to provide adequate additional
financial assistance for decommissioning of these reactors. The closure
commitment of the three Member States as well as the commitment of the EU to
provide financial EU support was foreseen in the corresponding Accession
Treaties. Financial EU assistance is currently
foreseen until the end of 2013 with a total of €2 847.8 million
(€1 367 million for Lithuania, €613 million for Slovakia and €867.8
million for Bulgaria). This financial EU support has effectively mitigated the
economical consequences of the early closure and the decommissioning process is
well engaged: dismantling of non-safety relevant systems and components in the
nuclear power plants has started and the construction of the required waste
management infrastructure such as spent fuel storage facilities and waste
treatment and storage facilities are in an advanced implementation stage.
Equally important activities that have been performed are the preparation of
all required licensing documents as well as environmental impact assessments,
where required. Nevertheless, since decommissioning of nuclear power plants is
a long term process (20-30 years), the process will continue beyond 2013 and
important safety relevant key projects are still to be implemented. In order to allow for safe decommissioning,
adequate financial resources should be available when required[1]. Although all three Member
States have established national funds to set aside financial resources for
decommissioning, those resources are for historical reasons insufficient.
Therefore the immediate problem to be addressed is the funding shortfall to
progress with safe decommissioning of the nuclear power plants, to ensure that
the closure becomes irreversible[2]
and at the same time stimulate the beneficiary Member States to gradually take over
the responsibility with respect to the full financial cover and ownership.
Public intervention is required to assist the Member States with additional
financial EU support. EU citizens and future generations as well
as the environment are the main groups affected by the problem of funding
shortfall and nuclear safety. Funding shortfall would jeopardize the safe
maintenance of the shut down reactors until they are completely defueled and
the seamless continuation of safe decommissioning, because of the risk that
further decommissioning steps would be postponed to an undefined date, awaiting
the availability of funds and transferring this liability and responsibility to
future generations. It also bears the risk of reopening of the nuclear power
plants. At most of the reactor units no major irreversible dismantling steps
have been implemented. In case of an incident or accident this would inevitably
also lead to an environmental degradation.
2.
Subsidiarity of the EU Intervention
The necessity for the EU intervention is
the fact that adequate funds required for continuing safe decommissioning
cannot be made available in due time through the respective national funds.
Unlike other Member States in a similar situation but without being confronted
to early closure of their plants, it was not possible for them to accumulate
sufficient funds from operation of the plants. It is therefore in the interests of the
European Union to ensure that the concerned reactors remain closed and that
they are defueled and dismantled in order to reduce the risk of negative
consequences for the EU citizen and for the environment. The EU added value
lies in the support of measures targeted to reach an irreversible state within
the decommissioning process of the concerned nuclear reactor units, in
accordance with their respective decommissioning plans, while keeping the
highest level of safety. This will contribute to provide substantial and
durable support for the health of workers and the general public, preventing
environmental degradation and providing for real progress in nuclear safety and
security.
3.
Objectives of EU initiative
3.1.
General policy objectives
The general
policy objective for providing additional EU funding beyond 2013 in support of
the three Member States in their efforts to continue safe decommissioning is to
progress in defueling and decommissioning of the concerned nuclear reactor
units and to ensure that the closure is irreversible. In order to
achieve the above mentioned objectives in the given context, additional support
of €500 million has been estimated for the period 2014 – 2020 in support of
safe decommissioning.
3.2.
Specific objectives
The three specific objectives of the
additional EU support programme are to 1.
To reach an irreversible state within the
decommissioning process. The main expected results/outputs for achieving this
objective are: · Nuclear power plants are safely maintained in post shut-down mode
until complete defueling; · Decommissioning license is in place; · Design for the dismantling of the reactor core/primary circuit is
completed: · Dismantling in the reactor building has started. 2.
To safely manage the radioactive waste: The main
expected results/outputs for achieving this objective are: · All nuclear reactor units are entirely defueled and nuclear spent
fuel is safely stored: · Decommissioning waste is part of a comprehensive waste management
programme and safely treated and stored according to a detailed waste
management plan. 3.
To maintain the key expertise and knowledge:
This is of benefit for safe decommissioning but equally important for
addressing the social consequences of the early closure. The expected result
for achieving this objective is the redeployment of plant personal for
decommissioning activities. The Logical Framework Matrix provided at
the end of this summary provides an overview on the main aspects of the EU
initiative (objectives, indicators, sources of verification and assumptions). Additional financial EU assistance under
the above objectives provides the seamless continuation of the support foreseen
under the Accession Treaty dedicated to safe decommissioning. This further support
is clearly to be understood as an expression of solidarity towards the three
Member States concerned. The ultimate responsibility however for nuclear safety
remains with the Member States, which also implies the ultimate responsibility
for its financing, including the financing of decommissioning.
4.
Policy options
Three policy options were identified and
assessed: Option 1: Baseline
option: No further financial EU assistance; Option 2: Business
as usual: EU financial contribution to decommissioning and consequential
measures in the energy sector; Option 3: EU
partial financing of decommissioning only; Under Option 1 the implementation of
the provisions of the accession treaty would end in 2013. No further financial
EU assistance would be provided and consequently all three Member States would
have to guarantee safe completion of their decommissioning programme with own
national resources. Option 2
would entail a prolongation of the current funding programmes, similar in level
of funding (current support: €258 million per year) and in scope
(decommissioning and energy measures to further mitigate the economical
consequences of the early closure). Option 3 is
a clear political message that the three Member States should show a higher
degree of financial responsibility and ownership and therefore additional
funding is proposed to be reduced in amount (about €71.4 million per year) and
limited in time (no EU support any more beyond 2020). Under this option, no
further EU assistance would be made available for measures in the energy sector
for mitigating the economical consequences of the early closure. The EU support
would only be focussed on key issues in order to progress on safe
decommissioning. The EU support would need to be complemented by substantial
additional national financial resources to meet the remaining funding gap for
the completion of decommissioning. Complementary to the policy options four
possible delivery mechanisms can be considered for the implementation of options
2 and 3 (option 1 does not require any delivery mechanism). They are: Mechanism A:
Funding under joint management with the EBRD through the existing international
multi-donor funds (current mechanism for all three Member States): This is the
current system. It worked well in the period before Accession, but has since
then started to show its limits. It is to be noted that the other donors have
not provided any further support since years, making the EU the largest and since
2004 the only remaining donor (more than 95 % of current funds totals). Mechanism B:
Funding under joint management with the EBRD however through dedicated EC
funds: This system would benefit from the EBRD's competence as financial
institution under joint management, without the drawbacks of the multi-donor
fund system. Mechanism C:
Funding under centralised indirect management through the existing national
agency CPMA (current additional mechanism only for Lithuania) nominated by the
Commission: With the completion of the main infrastructure investment projects,
and the advancement in the decommissioning process with skilled own staff at
the nuclear power plant, a tendency to move towards complete execution of the
EU budget by CPMA is the ongoing trend. Mechanism D:
Funding integrated into the EU structural funds mechanism: This delivery
mechanism would be entirely new and would put the decommissioning support
programme under the General Regulation governing the Structural Funds.
5.
Assessment of impacts
5.1.
Economic impacts:
· Electricity prices for consumers: Although it can be argued that up to now,
the cost of electricity charged did not include all back-end costs (except
Slovakia), there are high increases in electricity prices for end consumers due
to the early closures. Options 2 and 3 would ease the effect, by offsetting
partly the decommissioning costs and spreading the price rise due to increased
levies on electricity over time. · Electricity trade: The early closure has led to diminished
generation capacity in the three Member States, and hence diminished
electricity trade (Bulgaria), or switches from being electricity exporter to
importer (Lithuania and Slovakia). It is to be noted that Lithuania and the
Baltic States in general are not connected to the European electricity grid,
making them vulnerable to major electricity imports from one single source,
Russia. Only option 2 would make a difference, as energy sector measures would
then be financed. · Competitiveness: The Accession Treaties already recognise
the extraordinary burden that is placed on the economies of the three concerned
Member States following the early closure. The need to accumulate financial
resources needed for the decommissioning process, especially given the context
of early closure, might handicap the competitiveness of the three Member States
during an extended period of time. Option 1 would therefore worsen the
competitive status of the three concerned Member States. Options 2 and 3
restoring the competitive fair grounds as far as the amounts needed for
decommissioning are concerned. However, given the time lapse since the closure
and the mitigation measures already put in place until now, care must be taken
in order not to go too far, especially relating to replacement capacity or
equivalent savings. Such an action (option 2) could create distortion with
other Member States who have to replace outdated power generation themselves, a
position also shared by the European Parliament. ·
Impact on the GDP: The seamless implementation of the current decommissioning
plans (option 2 and 3) will stimulate growth by accelerating the pace of
decommissioning activities to be performed. Delaying decommissioning because of
inadequate funding (option 1) would have a negative impact on the GDP, as
investments would be shifted towards the future. · Public authorities: Option 1 will have a major budgetary impact
for the beneficiary Member States. They would need to cover the full remaining funding
for decommissioning from their national budget. Option 2 and 3 will limit the
impact on the national budgets. Nevertheless, option 3 clearly emphasises the
need for the three Member States to ensure a higher degree of financial
responsibility and ownership. While providing a reduced support beyond 2013
this allows for a smooth transition to full Member State funding of
decommissioning until the end of the process. · Administrative burden: For the implementation of the policy
options (2 and 3 only) the burden depends on the selected delivery mechanism
identified in section 4. For mechanism A the decision systems are
complicated, giving the EU only one vote amongst the donors, and are leading to
a dilution of responsibilities. In case of difficulties in the implementation
of projects, this mechanism has shown its limitations regarding the Commission’s
possibilities to intervene. Under mechanism B the decision making
process would be streamlined, as well as the monitoring flows improved, and
administrative burden decreased. It would strengthen the Commissions management
possibilities to intervene more efficiently in case of difficulties (delays and
cost overruns) in the implementation of decommissioning project by the
beneficiaries. Implementation of the EU support via a
dedicated national agency under delivery mechanism C has benefits for the
future kind of projects of proximity for instance during tender processes and
day to day follow up of the decommissioning works by local companies. Although
this mechanism is operating in Lithuania, a similar alternative is not
investigated for Slovakia and Bulgaria, as no suitable structures exist at
present to fulfil this role. Given the time needed to set up, verify and
accreditate such new structures, a significant risk for delays would occur. The inclusion of the decommissioning funds
into the structural funds (mechanism D) would appear to be contrary to the
overall philosophy of the structural funds, which are geared to growth
objectives, notably in line with the priorities of the EUROPE 2020 strategy. Structural
Funds operate on the basis of shared management. Member States design, select,
implement and manage projects, in line with the priority axes laid down in
operational programmes that are the subject of a Commission decision. The
primary responsibility for monitoring and control of the project lies with Member
States. The Commission is involved only on advisory basis and performs
selective audits on the basis of a risk analysis. Specificities of the
decommissioning support programme are not readily compatible with the shared
management mode of the Structural Funds. · Impacts on third countries: Option 1 would lead to an immediate funding
shortfall. This could have a potential major impact in and outside the EU as
highlighted in the problem definition under section 2. Options 2 and 3 address
the funding shortfall and will have a positive impact on citizens and
environment in and outside the EU.
5.2.
Social impacts:
· Employment: Currently a significant number of skilled
people are employed at the concerned power plants. These skilled labour forces
are needed for the safe maintenance of the closed down reactors, for the
radiological characterisation and for some pre-decommissioning activities
requiring their existing historical knowledge of the plant's operational life
time. If no funding would be available (options 1), this would pose a serious
threat to the payment of their salaries[3]. It
would also affect whole towns, where the nuclear power plant is generally the
main employer. Therefore many more people than only the direct staff would be
affected in their future. In case of continued EU financing for decommissioning
(options 2 and 3), the key staff with their expertise would be maintained as
well as the historical memory, with the highest value for the decommissioning
project. · Security (accidents / terrorism / security of energy supply): Without funding (options 1), less strict
control and less maintenance are likely, leading to a higher risk of misuse.
With the acceleration of the decommissioning process (options 2 and especially
3), this risk diminishes. ·
Health: Radiological risks for workers as well as
for the general public are possible in case of accidents or lower safe
maintenance. Safe treatment, storage and disposal of spent fuel and radioactive
waste should be according to the highest safety standards but they require
appropriate funding (options 2 and 3).
5.3.
Environmental impacts:
· Environment: In case of insufficient safe maintenance,
ageing monitoring equipment, incidents or accidents the environment risks to be
deteriorated. It is important to ensure transparent monitoring, especially for
possible EU wide effects. The risk for accidents, contamination, leaks etc
increases with the lack of funding for safe maintenance and decommissioning.
Option 1 entails a significant risk, which is much lower under options 2 and 3.
6.
Comparison of options
No further EU support under the baseline
option would stop the decommissioning programmes and consequently jeopardize
nuclear safety. The business as usual option would result in a much higher
financial EU support with reduced added value. Further support to projects in
the energy sector would lead to a distortion of competition and the continuing
high level of financial Union support would not be a sufficient incentive for
the Member Sates to take over the full financial responsibility for the
completion of decommissioning. EU partial financing for decommissioning
only (option 3) is considered the most appropriate solution following a clear
expressed political will. This option maximises the EU added value and supports
the transition towards full Member State funding of the safe completion of
decommissioning beyond the next multiannual financial framework. Option 3
provides for real improvement in nuclear safety and will help to achieve timely
real physical progress in defueling and decommissioning and ensure that the
closure is irreversible. Option 3 combined with the implementation
mechanisms B (for Bulgaria and Slovakia) and C (for Lithuania) will provide for
a continued strengthening of the Commission’s management for the effective,
efficient and economical use of EU funds. The identified weaknesses under the
current implementation mechanism (A) would be overcome and it would reinforce
the Commissions management possibilities to intervene more efficiently in case
of difficulties (delays and cost overruns) in the implementation of
decommissioning project by the beneficiaries. The specific objectives being
aligned with the proposed budget and based on revised/updated decommissioning
plans (needs expressed by the Member States) together with the meaningful
performance indicators are the basis for achieving the expected benefits from
the further financial EU support after 2013. This approach is in full
accordance with the recommendations from the European Court of Auditors.
7.
Monitoring and evaluation
In order to be able to verify the success
of the programme (meeting the general and specific objectives) SMART
Objectively Verifiable Indicators have been identified (see details in the
matrix below). The monitoring is based on the review of the identified
indicators, measuring progress towards meeting the objectives. At the current stage those indicators are
generic to all three individual Programmes (Ignalina, Bohunice and Kozloduy
Programme). For the implementation it is foreseen to adopt one annual work
programme for all three individual Programmes specifying the objectives,
expected results, related indicators and timeline for the use of funds under
each annual financial commitment. On a procedural level it is foreseen to
adopt not later than 31 December 2014 detailed implementation procedures for
the duration of the Programme. This decision will contain inter alia detailed
monitoring and reporting requirements as well as the revised detailed
decommissioning plans for all three individual Programmes that will serve as
baseline for the monitoring of the progress and the timely achievement of the
expected results. The EU monitoring, reporting and evaluation
arrangements will contain at least: –
Twice per year a monitoring committee meeting
with EU on the spot to verify the advancement of the decommissioning works. –
Regular status and progress reporting from the
beneficiary NPP as well as the implementing bodies (EBRD and CPMA). –
Yearly combined programming documents, annexed
to the Commission Decision on financing reporting progress towards
decommissioning. –
A mid term evaluation of the programme. –
Status reports to the European Parliament and
Council on the implementation of the financial EU assistance. Additionally, a monitoring system should be
put in place by the beneficiaries, allowing for active day-to-day monitoring of
the projects and tasks, and allowing for immediate operational feedback into
the planning with corrective measures. Logical Framework Matrix || Intervention logic || Indicators || Source of Verification || Assumptions Overall Objective || Support the Member States efforts in safe decommissioning. || Progress according decommissioning plan (tasks, costs, resources, timing); || Decommissioning plan; Regular monitoring meetings; Reporting by NPP and national authorities; || Stable political and regulatory framework; National funding forthcoming to meet the funding gap; Specific Programme Objectives Purpose || To reach an irreversible state within the decommissioning process; To safely manage spent nuclear fuel and the radioactive waste; To maintain the key expertise and knowledge; || Dismantling according decommissioning plan; Waste management according detailed waste management plan; Use of staff from the nuclear power plants; || Decommissioning and waste management plan; Regular reporting and monitoring meetings; || Stable political and regulatory framework; No changes in decommissioning strategy; Outputs (expected results) || NPPs safely maintained; No environmental impact; Spent fuel safely stored; Nuclear waste safely stored; Decommissioning license in place; Design of core/primary circuit dismantling; Staff engaged on decommissioning; || Nb of incidents/accidents; Environmental monitoring data; Nb of fuel elements stored and Nb of waste packages stored according to the planning; License issued according to the time schedule; Design completed in time; Nb of staff employed; Earned value analysis; || Status and progress reports; Regular monitoring meetings; License issued by the regulator; Staff accountancy; || Efficient NPP management structure for decommissioning established and fully operational; Efficient decommissioning planning in place; Operational feedback effectively used; No changes in decommissioning strategy; Proactive project monitoring function in place; Activities || Safe maintenance; Defueling; Dismantling works; Radwaste treatment and conditioning; Licensing docs; Engineering design core/prim circuit dismantling; Staff training and reallocation; || Planning of safe maintenance; Nb of fuel elements unloaded; Quantity of material/system dismantled; Quantity of rad waste treated and conditioned; Submission of licensing doc; Design feasibility and engineering studies; Nb of staff trained and reallocated; || Status and progress reports; Regular monitoring meetings; Detailed decommissioning work plan; Operational feedback to NPP planning department; HR plan; || Efficient NPP management structure for decommissioning established and fully operational; National funding forthcoming to meet the funding gap; Economic viability for using own NPP staff; [1] Commission recommendation on the management of
financial resources for the decommissioning of nuclear installations, spent
fuel and radioactive waste. OJ L 330, 28.11.2006, p.31 [2] Closure to become irreversible means that decommissioning
has progressed so far on a technical level, that it would economically no
longer be advantageous to consider the re-opening of the concerned reactor
units. [3] To be noted that not for all staff, salaries should
be paid under decommissioning.